RottenTomatoes.com
Log In | Register | What is RT?
Check out the new RT Community
  • Home
  • Movies
  • DVD
  • Celebrities
  • News
  • Critics
  • Trailers & Pictures
  • CommunityBeta
  • Features
  • | Columns
  • | Guides
RT Search Powered by Google
help icon Enhanced RT
searches on Google
Click here to turn on enhanced search results from RT on your Google searches.
 
News
Box Office Guru Preview: Audiences Surrounded by Lies
Also: The Express, Quarantine, City of Ember rush into theaters.
by Gitesh Pandya | October 09, 2008
Discuss Article

Leonardo DiCaprio and Russell Crowe, two men that have on more than one occasion anchored blockbusters that have also won Oscars for Best Picture, team up for the anti-terrorism action flick Body of Lies which leads the new round of debuting titles. Also fighting for a finite number of screens in an overcrowded marketplace are the football drama The Express, the horror thriller Quarantine, and the sci-fi adventure City of Ember. With such variety, there should be little audience overlap between the new releases. Monday's Columbus Day holiday will see many schools and businesses closing helping the Sunday box office post stronger sales than usual.

The War on Terror comes to a theater near you packaged as a star-driven spy thriller in Body of Lies. The Ridley Scott film brings together big-name stars DiCaprio and Crowe and is selling itself as an action picture. In the process, the marketing materials have done everything possible to hide the fact that the story takes place mostly across the Middle East and deals with the U.S. hunting down a major terrorist leader. You can't blame Warner Bros. That subject matter just doesn't sell and who really is in the mood for it? Instead, the names of the stars and director are being pushed to the forefront. Watch the trailer and TV spots and it's hard to tell what exactly the story is about. Instead, the studio is hoping that audiences look at it as they would a JB flick (Bond or Bourne, you pick) - a globe-trotting espionage film with gritty action elements and a handsome hero in the lead.

Downplaying the subject matter and focusing all attention on the stars is a smart way to go. Both actors are well-respected and have been known to sell tickets - in the right film. Mature adults will make up the prime audience for this R-rated film with older teens and college students likely to pass. Last weekend's top three films skewed heavily to the under-25 set so Body of Lies has an opportunity to score at this moment. Look for the film to appeal to the same crowds that came out for other fall action thrillers like The Kingdom ($17.1M), Righteous Kill ($16.3M), and The Departed ($26.9M). Since adult men will make up a big part of the audience, competition from football and the baseball playoffs this weekend will have an impact. Infiltrating 2,710 sites, Body of Lies might debut with about $20M this weekend.


Russell Crowe amd Leonardo DiCaprio in Body of Lies

Following films like Finding Forrester and Coach Carter, Rob Brown anchors the new inspirational football drama The Express telling the story of Ernie Davis, the first black man to win the Heisman Trophy. Dennis Quaid stars as the coach in this PG-rated title. Pigskin flicks generally do well at the box office as do stories of African American trailblazers in sports. A solid third place debut could result this weekend. Though not terribly strong on the starpower side, Express does have an uplifting feel-good true story on its side and that should resonate with moviegoers. Universal's sneak previews last weekend helped to generate positive word-of-mouth and promotions during the current football season will allow it to connect directly with the target audience as a timely autumn film. Add in good reviews and appeal spreads across a wide age range. The studio scored a big hit this very weekend during the last presidential campaign with the Jerry Bruckheimer-produced Friday Night Lights which bowed to $20.3M. The Express may not rush that far, but with 2,808 theaters it could debut with around $15M.


Rob Brown as Ernie Davis in The Express

Sony unleashes the first true horror film of the Halloween season with Quarantine. The R-rated thriller about a group of people trapped inside an apartment building where a mysterious force of terror spreads will play to genre fans at a time when fright flicks are in demand. Two weeks clearance before the arrival of Saw V is all the time it needs to carve up the bulk of its business. With a TV news reporter filming the events, Quarantine has the look and feel of Cloverfield and is hoping to tap into that type of marketing. Starpower is not ample but scary trailers and commercials will be enough to pull in a solid number of older teens and young adults. Plus with no other horror films around, it will have its audience to itself. Locking itself into 2,461 theaters, Quarantine could deliver an opening of about $10M.


Jennifer Carpenter in Quarantine

Two teens try to save the human race in the futuristic fantasy adventure City of Ember, the frame's second PG-rated entry. The Fox release features Bill Murray and Tim Robbins as the most well-known cast members but is aimed at younger teens looking for some sci-fi action. Of course that combo didn't work so well two years ago for the effects-heavy Zathura which starred Robbins and made just $28.2M overall. In fact, in the post-Hobbit world most fantasy films have struggled to find audiences in the U.S., even though results overseas have generally been much better. Even the latest Chronicles of Narnia film this summer ended up grossing less than half as much as its predecessor. Ember might connect with a core fan following, but overall it will be a tough sell. Plus the marketing push has not been too forceful. Entering the fewest locations among the new releases with 2,023 playdates, City of Ember could collect about $6M this weekend.


Bill Murray in City of Ember

Disney is hoping to hold onto its box office crown with the second weekend of Beverly Hills Chihuahua. The hit family pic has only mild competition this weekend and will have a better-than-usual Sunday thanks to many children having Columbus Day off. A 35% decline would leave the PG-rated entry with about $19M and a solid ten-day cume of $53M.

Eagle Eye has taken in a similar amount in its first ten days and looks to remain a relevant contender in its third session. The Paramount release may slip 35% to roughly $11.5M boosting the 17-day tally to $70M. Sony's teen comedy Nick & Norah's Infinite Playlist should fall harder and might drop by 45% this weekend. That would give the Michael Cera flick around $6M for a sum of $20M after ten days.

LAST YEAR: With a little help from Janet Jackson, Tyler Perry conquered the box office with his latest film Why Did I Get Married? which bowed to an impressive $21.4M and $10,618 average. The Lionsgate release went on to score $55.2M. Disney's family comedy The Game Plan held up well after back-to-back weeks on top dropping 34% to $11M. Opening in third was Sony's action drama We Own the Night which took in $10.8M followed closely by $10.4M for the nationwide expansion of George Clooney's Michael Clayton for Warner Bros. Final tallies reached $28.6M and $49M, respectively. Rounding out the top five was the Paramount comedy The Heartbreak Kid with $7.3M. Universal landed in sixth with the debut of its period sequel Elizabeth: The Golden Age which opened with just $6.2M leading to a disappointing $16.4M final.

Author: Gitesh Pandya, www.BoxOfficeGuru.com

Related Items
Movie: Quarantine
City of Ember
The Express
Celeb: Rob Brown
Ridley Scott
Leonardo DiCaprio
Russell Crowe
Tim Robbins
Dennis Quaid
Bill Murray
Bookmark and Share
Comments (1-9 of 9 posts) | Reply
tidussquall10x
tidussquall10x writes:
on Oct 09 2008 05:18 PM

Where is the article?

(Reply to this)
indiefilmfan2
indiefilmfan2 writes:
on Oct 09 2008 06:19 PM

Given its massive budget, Body of Lies can top the box office and still bomb. WB will not be satisfied with an opening of just $20 million. I think Chihuahua will repeat and fall less than 30%.

(Reply to this)
jokerboy1991
jokerboy1991 writes:
on Oct 09 2008 06:40 PM

Body of Lies-28 Million
BHC-18 million
Express- 15 Million


(Reply to this)
slugbone
slugbone writes:
on Oct 09 2008 07:07 PM

I wouldnt pay to see any of the movies that are out right now.

(Reply to this)
Gimy
Gimy writes:
on Oct 10 2008 05:05 AM

i'll go see Q this weekend because thats the only one that looks interesting to me. the crow/dicap movie just looks boring. i've seen the trailer probably 20 times and everytime just looks...blah. rental. the only thing i've noticed about the Express is it's pg, even though i've seen a snippet and Quaid's character says Gd3mn twice. usually the mpaa knocks that up to pg13, especially with the racist theme throughout. i've seen em do it for a movie simply because they said "2ss". can't they be consistent at all. not saying it's a bad movie(looks decent), just wish the mpaa would stick to a guideline

i should be punched in the face, i'm actually a tad pumped for saw 5. moreso because there's too many people that think its sooo original, and sooo scary. hey...i like sh3tty movies that take it too seriously.


(Reply to this)
dahluzz
dahluzz writes:
on Oct 10 2008 01:49 PM

wow, i really thought 'quarantine' was gonna have an horrendous t-meter. though, it wasn't screened for critics, so of the few people who have reviewed it, maybe there are some horror-holics in the mix or something cause it looked lousy to me.

the word of this week is "Meh." nothing that great. i even had the chance to see 'body of lies' for free on wednesday and didn't feel like it. maybe that was dumb, but despite having all the right ingredients, i'm just not feeling it. ridley scott is pretty hit and miss these days.

wondering if 'appaloosa' is worth seeing on the big screen. anyone seen that yet? i also haven't caught 'burn after reading,' so maybe this is a weekend to play catch-up instead of taking in a new release. if anyone's got suggestions, i clearly need one...


(Reply to this)
nostalgic_hero
nostalgic_hero writes:
on Oct 11 2008 11:58 AM

If Quarentine is anything like the original Spanish film it's based off, [Rec], it should be a damn good horror film. But it doesn't look like it has the same pacing and suspense. Maybe it won't be too bad though, I've seen a lot of shot for shot recreations in the trailer.

(Reply to this)
nostalgic_hero
nostalgic_hero writes:
on Oct 11 2008 12:02 PM

If Quarentine is anything like the original Spanish film it's based off, [Rec], it should be a damn good horror film. But it doesn't look like it has the same pacing and suspense. Maybe it won't be too bad though, I've seen a lot of shot for shot recreations in the trailer.

(Reply to this)
nostalgic_hero
nostalgic_hero writes:
on Oct 11 2008 12:05 PM

If Quarentine is anything like the original Spanish film it's based off, [Rec], it should be a damn good horror film. But it doesn't look like it has the same pacing and suspense. Maybe it won't be too bad though, I've seen a lot of shot for shot recreations in the trailer.

(Reply to this)
Read More Comments
Page | 1
Post Your Comment
You must be registered to post comments. Login or Register.

Related Links

Body of Lies
  • Pictures
  • Posters
  • News
  • Forum

Related Articles

  • RT on DVD: High School Musical 3 or Midnight Meat Train? (27)
  • UK Critics Consensus: Does Ridley Scott’s Body Of Lies Ring True? Is Blindness Blinding Or Bland? (0)
  • Win a Body of Lies poster signed by Ridley Scott, Leo and Russ! (0)
  • Critics Consensus: Express Scores, Body of Lies Falls Flat (35)
  • Box Office Guru Preview: Audiences Surrounded by Lies (9)
  • Body of Lies Takes a Risk Opens in new window (7)
  • Trailer Bulletin: Body of Lies Opens in new window (7)
  • Weekly Ketchup: Wanted, Monster Squad, and the New Watchmen Trailer (21)
  • (International) Trailer Bulletin: Body of Lies Opens in new window (5)
  • Dark Knight Trailers Confirmed? Opens in new window (12)

Most Discussed

  • Total Recall: John Cusack's Best Movies (93)
  • Five Favorite Films with Roland Emmerich (77)
  • Critics Consensus: 2012 Isn't Quite Earth-Shaking (43)
  • Weekly Ketchup: Rachel McAdams Reads for Spider-Man 4 (35)
  • Box Office Guru Wrapup: Christmas Carol Tops, Precious Rocks (34)
  • Five Favourite Films with Ang Lee (29)
  • 10 Movies That Changed The (End Of The) World (28)
  • Friday Harvest: Clash of the Titans, Kick-Ass, and more! (22)
  • James Schamus talks Taking Woodstock - RT Interview (4)
  • RT's Holiday Movie Preview -- Find Out What's Hot This Season! (0)

Latest News

  • Weekly Ketchup: Rachel McAdams Reads for Spider-Man 4 (36)
  • Friday Harvest: Clash of the Titans, Kick-Ass, and more! (22)
  • James Schamus talks Taking Woodstock - RT Interview (4)
  • Critics Consensus: 2012 Isn't Quite Earth-Shaking (43)
  • Five Favourite Films with Ang Lee (29)
  • 10 Movies That Changed The (End Of The) World (28)
  • RT's Holiday Movie Preview -- Find Out What's Hot This Season! (0)
  • Five Favorite Films with Roland Emmerich (77)
  • Total Recall: John Cusack's Best Movies (93)
  • Box Office Guru Wrapup: Christmas Carol Tops, Precious Rocks (34)

Latest Interviews

  • James Schamus talks Taking Woodstock - RT Interview (4)
  • John Hurt Talks Harry Potter, Quentin Crisp and Alien - The RT Interview (15)
  • Terry Gilliam Talks Doctor Parnassus (15)
  • Wes Anderson Talks Fantastic Mr. Fox - RT Interview (8)
  • Wolverine Creator Len Wein Talks About the Film (28)
  • Gavin Hood Talks Wolverine; Possible Sequel (28)
  • Duncan Jones talks Moon, Sam Rockwell, and Mute (14)
  • Emma Stone talks Zombieland - RT Interview (40)
  • Michael Moore: The RT Interview (139)
  • Andrea Arnold talks Fish Tank - RT Interview (4)

Latest Features

  • Five Favourite Films with Ang Lee (29)
  • 10 Movies That Changed The (End Of The) World (28)
  • Ho-ho-horror! 10 Scary Christmas Movies (36)
  • 12 Facts About 2012 (135)
  • RT's Movie Location Guide - London as Elsewhere (0)
  • Terry Gilliam Talks Doctor Parnassus (15)
  • Five Favourite Films with 24's Carlos Bernard (33)
  • Six Horrible Part Sixes (32)
  • Christopher Smith's Favourite Cult Horror Films (14)
  • RT's Movie Location Guide - London as London (0)

Sponsored Links

 
 
About| Site Map| Help| RT To Go| Contact Us| Critics Submission| Linking to RT| Licensing| Movie List| Celebs List| Newsletter
IGN Logo

IGN.com | GameSpy | Comrade | Arena | FilePlanet | GameSpy Technology
TeamXbox | Planets | Vaults | VE3D | CheatsCodesGuides | GameStats | GamerMetrics
AskMen.com | Rotten Tomatoes | Direct2Drive | Green Pixels


By continuing past this page, and by the continued use of this site, you agree to be bound by and abide by the User Agreement.
Copyright 1998-2009, IGN Entertainment, Inc. About IGN | Support | Advertise | Privacy Policy | User Agreement | Subscribe to RT's XML feed! IGN RSS Feeds
IGN's enterprise databases running Oracle, SQL and MySQL are professionally monitored and managed by Pythian Remote DBA
Certain product data ©1995-present Muze, Inc. For personal use only. All rights reserved.