RottenTomatoes.com
Log In | Register | What is RT?
Check out the new RT Community
  • Home
  • Movies
  • DVD
  • Celebrities
  • News
  • Critics
  • Trailers & Pictures
  • CommunityBeta
  • Features
  • | Columns
  • | Guides
RT Search Powered by Google
help icon Enhanced RT
searches on Google
Click here to turn on enhanced search results from RT on your Google searches.
 
News / Columns / Box Office
Box Office Guru Preview: Six New Films Try to Shoot Down Spartans From #1 Spot
by Gitesh Pandya | March 22, 2007
Discuss Article
A half-dozen new soldiers enter the marketplace this weekend trying to topple the kingdom of "300" which has reigned supreme at the box office for the past two weeks.

Mark Wahlberg toplines the sniper thriller "Shooter," animated ninja turtles fight crime in "TMNT," and mutated zombies attack in "The Hills Have Eyes 2." In addition, moviegoers will get to choose from the kids adventure "The Last Mimzy," the sports saga "Pride," and the Adam Sandler drama "Reign Over Me." Holdovers should witness some large declines as these new pics all fight over the time and attention of ticket buyers. The box office may not have room for all to survive.

Seventeen years after shocking the film industry with a record March opening, the Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles are back but in animated form in "TMNT." The Warner Bros. toon features the voices of Patrick Stewart, Sarah Michelle Gellar, and Ziyi Zhang and carries a PG rating that is friendly for kids. Given the violence, "TMNT" should skew more to boys and might even pull in those who grew up with the characters in the late 1980s and early 1990s. With all the R-rated films recently, there have not been too many choices for kids this spring. "The Last Mimzy" is the only new release that will provide direct competition for that audience. Bringing its turtle power to 3,110 theaters, "TMNT" may generate a bow of roughly $16M this weekend.


They're back.

Hot off his recent Oscar nomination, Mark Wahlberg hits the big screen in the action thriller "Shooter" playing a former Marine sniper trying to clear his name after being wrongly accused of trying to assassinate the U.S. President. The R-rated film comes from "Training Day" director Antoine Fuqua and co-stars Danny Glover and Michael Peņa. The film is banking on the starpower of Wahlberg who has been able to anchor hits in recent years. Late summer pics like last year's "Invincible" and 2005's "Four Brothers" opened to $17M and $21.2M, respectively, and brought in solid sales overall. "Shooter" is targeting the adult action crowd with appeal that will reach both men and women. Certainly "300" will play to much of the same audience and be a factor. Though no Damon or Cruise, Wahlberg has indeed become a believable action hero and is in a role that audiences will buy him in. Plus his Academy nod for "The Departed" has only increased audience respect for the former rapper. Opening in 2,600 theaters, "Shooter" might take in about $16M for the weekend.


Mark Wahlberg, playing a guy named Swagger, in a movie called "Shooter."

Last March, Fox Searchlight hit gold with the horror remake "The Hills Have Eyes" which bowed to $15.7M and grossed $41.8M overall. A year later, the sequel is born this time coming out through Fox Atomic, the studio's new division geared towards young adult audiences with genre fare. "Eyes 2" once again is targeting the horror crowd with slick marketing hoping to lure in those seeking R-rated gore and violence. Plus the distributor is premiering the trailer to the upcoming fright sequel "28 Weeks Later" with the new "Hills" installment to help give moviegoers more for their money. Much of the audience for the first pic will probably return, although the sequel will face more competition as "300" and "Shooter" will both be drawing in young men. Attacking 2,500 theaters, "The Hills Have Eyes 2" could open to around $13M this weekend.


"The Hills Have Eyes, Too."

New Line studio chief Bob Shaye steps back into the director's chair with the family adventure "The Last Mimzy" based on a popular short story. The "E.T."-like film about a boy and a girl who find a mysterious animal with mystical powers hopes to attract an audience of kids and parents, but will have to face some stiff competition from its studio's former heroes, the Ninja Turtles. That toon should take away more boys than girls so "Mimzy" may end up skewing a bit more female. New Line hopes that much of the crowd that spent $75M and counting on "Bridge to Terabithia" will take a spin with this new effects-filled fantasy so sneak previews were held to help raise awareness and get buzz spreading. Still, a competitive environment will probably cut into its potential. Landing in over 3,000 sites, "The Last Mimzy" might gross about $12M this weekend.


"The Last Mimzy."

Targeting the African American audience this weekend is Lionsgate with its swim team drama "Pride" starring Terrence Howard. The PG-rated film will try to appeal to males with the sports saga and females with its human drama and half-nude muscular men. But Howard has not yet proven that he can open a picture on his own and "Pride" may not be the one to increase his future salary demands. "Remember the Titans" and "Coach Carter" both opened north of $20M and much of that was due to starpower. Plus Chris Rock found out last week that African Americans will not just show up for any film with a predominantly black cast. Diving into 1,518 theaters, "Pride" could swim to a weekend gross of about $7M.


Terrence Howard in "Pride."

Adam Sandler goes back to serious territory with the R-rated drama "Reign Over Me" playing a man whose life fell apart after his wife and kids were killed on 9/11. It's no surprise Sony is releasing the film given all the cash the comedian has made for the studio over the years. Don Cheadle and Jada Pinkett Smith co-star. Given the subject matter, the rating, and Sandler's Bob Dylan haircut, the actor's core audience of immature young males will not be lining up this time. Remember "Spanglish'"s $8.8M bow? Well, it could get worse for "Reign." After "United 93" and "World Trade Center," demand isn't very high for yet another look at September 11. Given all the choices in the marketplace, adult audiences will be divided between many films so only a small slice might go this way. Debuting in 1,671 venues, "Reign Over Me" could open with about $6M.


Sandler and Cheadle in "Reign Over Me."

The mighty King Leonidas barely broke a sweat over the last two weeks in his box office victories. But the invading armies this weekend will pose a great threat to "300"'s rule. "Shooter" and "Hills" will provide the most direct competition. A 50% drop may be in order which would leave the Warner Bros. epic with roughly $16.5M for the frame and an impressive $157M in 17 days.

"Wild Hogs" may finally see a normal drop and slide by 40% to $11M giving Buena Vista $121M to date. "Premonition" should lose half of its audience and fall to $9M for a ten-day cume of $30M.


LAST YEAR: Spike Lee and Denzel Washington joined forces for the heist thriller "Inside Man" and found themselves at number one with a potent $29M opening. Universal went on to collect $88.5M domestically and $183M worldwide. The competing actioner "V for Vendetta" dropped from first to second with $12.3M falling 52% in its second weekend. Debuting in third was the horror flick "Stay Alive" with $10.7M on its way to $23.1M for Buena Vista. Rounding out the top five were "Failure to Launch" with $10.5M and "The Shaggy Dog" with $9M, both in their third weekends. Bowing in seventh place was the blue collar comedy "Larry the Cable Guy" with $6.9M leading to a $15.7M final.

Author: Gitesh Pandya, www.BoxOfficeGuru.com

Related Items
Movie: Wild Hogs
Larry the Cable Guy: Health Inspector
Stay Alive
United 93
The Hills Have Eyes
The Shaggy Dog
Failure to Launch
V For Vendetta
Four Brothers
World Trade Center
The Departed
Invincible
The Last Mimzy
Premonition
Bridge to Terabithia
300
The Hills Have Eyes II
28 Weeks Later
Pride
TMNT
Coach Carter
Spanglish
E.T. The Extra-Terrestrial
Inside Man
Training Day
Remember the Titans
Reign Over Me
Celeb: Patrick Stewart
Matt Damon
Denzel Washington
Chris Rock
Spike Lee
Danny Glover
Adam Sandler
Michael Pena
Ziyi Zhang
Jada Pinkett Smith
Terrence Howard
Antoine Fuqua
Sarah Michelle Gellar
Robert Shaye
Don Cheadle
Mark Wahlberg
Tom Cruise
Bookmark and Share
Comments (1-7 of 7 posts) | Reply
Arturious
Arturious writes:
on Mar 22 2007 09:04 PM

I still say 300 will be first... I hope.

(Reply to this)
red_wine
red_wine writes:
on Mar 22 2007 10:08 PM

Yes, the hype around 300 is much more and I would rather watch 300 again then any of this stupid sub-standard fare. Have already seen it 3 times. It may still be No.1 or atleast in the Top 3.

(Reply to this)
Floor Man
Floor Man writes:
on Mar 23 2007 03:35 AM

I think TMNT is going to do better than RT predicts, although it's hard to say with so many other movies' releases. I just saw it, and the User vs. Critic tomatometer makes soooo much more sense now! It's a crowd-pleaser, not a critic-pleaser. I thought it was shell-shockingly fun, myself. ;) No, really.

I'm guessing 300 will either barely stay at number one or get barely surpassed and pushed to number two. It's good, and it's new. That's the reason it's so popular.


(Reply to this)
South_park300
South_park300 writes:
on Mar 23 2007 05:04 AM

i'm seein TMNT, don't care about the critics. looks awesome

(Reply to this)
helmetinthebush
helmetinthebush writes:
on Mar 23 2007 01:44 PM

turtle power for the youngens and young at hearts, Shooter for the adults, and 300 slides to 3rd...

(Reply to this)
Steve Perry
Steve Perry writes:
on Mar 23 2007 02:57 PM

I can't wait to see the Hills have eyes 2.

been waiting ever since they announced it a year ago


(Reply to this)
ipisking
ipisking writes:
on Mar 25 2007 07:34 AM

[b]Still on Top[/b]
300 will stay on top.....


(Reply to this)
Read More Comments
Page | 1
Post Your Comment
You must be registered to post comments. Login or Register.

Related Links

Shooter
  • Pictures
  • Posters
  • News
  • Forum

Related Articles

  • Box Office Guru Preview: Madea Takes On Dr. Seuss (21)
  • Box Office Guru Preview: Wide Open Race For #1 Spot This Weekend (10)
  • Box Office Guru Wrapup: "Disturbia" Scares Up #1 Opening (17)
  • Box Office Guru Wrapup: Ferrell & Heder Still America's Favorite Couple (36)
  • Box Office Guru Wrapup: Audiences Love Will Ferrell's Lady Humps (10)
  • Mark Wahlberg to Star in Shyamalan's "Happening" (23)
  • Box Office Guru Preview: Will Ferrell Goes for the Gold (12)
  • Box Office Guru Wrapup: Ninja Turtles Unseat Spartans For #1 Spot (33)
  • Box Office Guru Preview: Six New Films Try to Shoot Down Spartans From #1 Spot (7)
  • Critical Consensus: "TMNT" Gets Shredded; "Mimzy" Is Mixed; "Shooter" Misses; "Reign" Shines; "Pride" Sinks; Guess "Hills" Tomatometer! (19)

Most Discussed

  • Box Office Guru Wrapup: New Moon Shatters Records (161)
  • Critics Consensus: New Moon Wanes (129)
  • Tomatometer Watch: Will Twilight's New Moon Dazzle? (97)
  • Total Recall: Star-Crossed Lovers (74)
  • Weekly Ketchup: Idris Elba cast in Thor, more Spider-Man 4 rumors (53)
  • Five Favorite Films with Werner Herzog (50)
  • Total Recall: John Travolta's Best Movies (35)
  • Friday Harvest: New Moon, Avatar, and more! (31)
  • Ho, ho, ho! It's RT's Great Big Gift Guide! (0)
  • "I Don't Hate Women": Lars von Trier on Antichrist (0)

Latest News

  • "I Don't Hate Women": Lars von Trier on Antichrist (0)
  • Total Recall: John Travolta's Best Movies (35)
  • Box Office Guru Wrapup: New Moon Shatters Records (161)
  • Weekly Ketchup: Idris Elba cast in Thor, more Spider-Man 4 rumors (53)
  • Ho, ho, ho! It's RT's Great Big Gift Guide! (0)
  • Friday Harvest: New Moon, Avatar, and more! (31)
  • Critics Consensus: New Moon Wanes (129)
  • Total Recall: Star-Crossed Lovers (74)
  • Tomatometer Watch: Will Twilight's New Moon Dazzle? (97)
  • Five Favorite Films with Werner Herzog (50)

Latest Interviews

  • "I Don't Hate Women": Lars von Trier on Antichrist (0)
  • Eric Bana talks Love the Beast - RT Interview (8)
  • Fight Club Sound Designer Reflects on Film's 10th Anniversary (19)
  • James Schamus talks Taking Woodstock - RT Interview (6)
  • John Hurt Talks Harry Potter, Quentin Crisp and Alien - The RT Interview (15)
  • Terry Gilliam Talks Doctor Parnassus (16)
  • Wes Anderson Talks Fantastic Mr. Fox - RT Interview (8)
  • Wolverine Creator Len Wein Talks About the Film (28)
  • Gavin Hood Talks Wolverine; Possible Sequel (28)
  • Duncan Jones talks Moon, Sam Rockwell, and Mute (14)

Latest Features

  • "I Don't Hate Women": Lars von Trier on Antichrist (0)
  • Fight Club Sound Designer Reflects on Film's 10th Anniversary (19)
  • Five Favourite Films with Ang Lee (34)
  • 10 Movies That Changed The (End Of The) World (32)
  • Ho-ho-horror! 10 Scary Christmas Movies (39)
  • 12 Facts About 2012 (135)
  • RT's Movie Location Guide - London as Elsewhere (0)
  • Terry Gilliam Talks Doctor Parnassus (16)
  • Five Favourite Films with 24's Carlos Bernard (33)
  • Six Horrible Part Sixes (32)

Sponsored Links

 
 
About| Site Map| Help| RT To Go| Contact Us| Critics Submission| Linking to RT| Licensing| Movie List| Celebs List| Newsletter
IGN Logo

IGN.com | GameSpy | Comrade | Arena | FilePlanet | GameSpy Technology
TeamXbox | Planets | Vaults | VE3D | CheatsCodesGuides | GameStats | GamerMetrics
AskMen.com | Rotten Tomatoes | Direct2Drive | Green Pixels


By continuing past this page, and by the continued use of this site, you agree to be bound by and abide by the User Agreement.
Copyright 1998-2009, IGN Entertainment, Inc. About IGN | Support | Advertise | Privacy Policy | User Agreement | Subscribe to RT's XML feed! IGN RSS Feeds
IGN's enterprise databases running Oracle, SQL and MySQL are professionally monitored and managed by Pythian Remote DBA
Certain product data ©1995-present Muze, Inc. For personal use only. All rights reserved.